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Always favour the home team in EPL betting. Using last year’s stats, 48% of the time the home team won, with 29% ending in a draw and 23% the away team won. Only 3 of the 20 clubs last year lost more games than they won, so it is fair to say backing the away team to win is a risky bet, unless it is the likes of Man Utd, Chelsea, Arsenal etc.
Another way to tackle head to head matches and a hugely popular way to bet now is the Asian Handicap. This basically takes the draw out of the equation and gives goal handicaps to even up the contest so the game is on level pecking. Most of the bookies in Australia now offer this bet type.
Always take into account current form and make sure you look at home and away from before placing any bets. Although this is a pretty obvious statement that pretty much reflects most sports, it does still ring true though!
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This is actually a bet type I have had some success with in the past. It is very tough to do, but the odds are very good so a win can be very rewarding in terms of profit. You’d be surprised how often certain scorelines pop up for some teams.
Using data from last season’s results we see the 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1 results made up for 46% of the correct scores, so close to half the games. Given that the correct score markets usually pay roughly $7.00 minimum for each combination, you can hedge bets to try and make a profit.
Some clubs can play very defensive and win 1-0 or 2-0 a lot at home, while other teams that let in goals easy and are middle of the table often have 1-1 or 2-1 results at home. There is money to be made in this market for sure.
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One thing is pretty consistent in the English Premier League and that is the same teams will usually be there about every year, unlike sports here in Australia. You can be pretty sure that Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool will be up the top with teams like Manchester City or another bolter pressing.
Best time to bet on the EPL title is earlier in the season when you get some pretty good odds. A good way to bet is with Betfair by backing teams and laying them off if they hit a form slump, hence guaranteeing a profit. Many punters make a profit doing this.
Another market you get bet on is who will or won’t be relegated. Usually 40 points is the general rule for avoiding relegation and there is always plenty of interest in the relegation later on in the season. Many bookies now offer this market.
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